Alexandria Digital Research Library

Economic Shocks and Household Decisions

Author:
Milosch, Jennifer
Degree Grantor:
University of California, Santa Barbara. Department of Economics
Degree Supervisor:
Shelly Lundberg
Place of Publication:
[Santa Barbara, Calif.]
Publisher:
University of California, Santa Barbara
Creation Date:
2014
Issued Date:
2014
Topics:
Sociology, Individual and Family Studies, Psychology, Behavioral, Economics, Labor, and Economics, General
Keywords:
Income Shocks
Labor Supply
Economic Shocks
House Price Shocks
Divorce
Genres:
Online resources and Dissertations, Academic
Dissertation:
Ph.D.--University of California, Santa Barbara, 2014
Description:

This dissertation concerns various types of economic shocks and the implications of such shocks on the decisions of households. There has been a long history in the theoretical economics literature of modeling agents as forward-looking and thus in making their life-cycle decisions they will have accounted for the paths they expect their income, wealth, or economic opportunities to take. Therefore, these chapters will focus on households' responses to unexpected changes in economic factors. The two types of economic shocks to be explored are income shocks, a shock that will affect only one spouse, and house price shocks, a shock that affects both spouses. Particular care is given to trying to identify exogenous and unexpected changes in income or wealth for the households. The asymmetric responses to financial gains versus losses are explored for each type of shock.

Throughout the analyses are conducted using longitudinal data on individuals or households. These data allow for observations of the sample household through a long portion of its life cycle and through changes in their economic situation. In the first chapter, I explore the effects of unpredicted changes in permanent income of each spouse on the probability of divorce for the couple. I find that if the husband experiences a negative income shock, the probability of divorce increases. If the wife experiences a negative income shock, this effect on divorce is only true if she had a switch into unemployment. In Chapter 2, I continue the analysis of economic shocks on probability of divorce by looking at responses to local house price shocks. These local housing prices give us changes in wealth for the households that are exogenous to many of the other decisions an individual household makes. In response to a positive house price shock, the risk of divorce decreases for couples. Finally in the third chapter, I analyze the effect of housing prices on another household behavior: labor supply choices. Married female homeowners are less likely to be employed following a positive house price shock in their metropolitan area. Conversely, older married male homeowners are more likely to be employed when there are negative house price shocks in their area.

Physical Description:
1 online resource (193 pages)
Format:
Text
Collection(s):
UCSB electronic theses and dissertations
ARK:
ark:/48907/f33b5x8t
ISBN:
9781321202496
Catalog System Number:
990045116140203776
Rights:
Inc.icon only.dark In Copyright
Copyright Holder:
Jennifer Milosch
File Description
Access: Public access
Milosch_ucsb_0035D_12124.pdf pdf (Portable Document Format)