Alexandria Digital Research Library

A change-point problem and preliminary test estimation in circular statistics

Author:
Nava, Michael Marcelino
Degree Grantor:
University of California, Santa Barbara. Statistics and Applied Probability
Degree Supervisor:
Sreenivasa R. Jammalamadaka
Place of Publication:
[Santa Barbara, Calif.]
Publisher:
University of California, Santa Barbara
Creation Date:
2015
Issued Date:
2015
Topics:
Statistics
Keywords:
Preliminary test estimation
Metropolis-Hastings algorithm
Circular Normal Distribution
Generalized likelihood ratio test
Circular statistics
Change-point
Genres:
Online resources and Dissertations, Academic
Dissertation:
Ph.D.--University of California, Santa Barbara, 2015
Description:

This thesis investigates two different problems relating to circular data. One relates to change-point problems. Tests in this context are meant to detect the point in time at which a sample of observations changes the probability distribution from which they came. Suppose one has a set of independent vectors of measurements, observed in a time-ordered or space-ordered sequence. In our set-up, these observations are circular data and we are interested as to which point in time does the distribution change from having one mode to having more than one mode. In this work we model unimodality or bimodality with a mixture of two Circular Normal distributions, which admits both possibilities, albeit for different parameter values. Tests for detecting the change-point are derived using the generalized likelihood ratio method. We obtain simulated distri- butions and critical values for the appropriate test statistics in finite samples, as well as provide the asymptotic distributions, under some regularity conditions. We also tackle this problem from a Bayesian perspective. In the second part, the goal is to estimate the concentration parameter of a Circular Normal distribution when the mean direction is unknown. We present two alternate approaches that incorporate prior knowledge on the mean direction (i) via a preliminary test on the mean direction, the so-called "preliminary test estimators" and (ii) through an assumed prior distribution on the mean direction as one does in Bayes procedures. We compare such alternate estimators with the standard maximum likelihood estimator and explore when one method is superior to the other.

Physical Description:
1 online resource (115 pages)
Format:
Text
Collection(s):
UCSB electronic theses and dissertations
ARK:
ark:/48907/f3s46q5h
ISBN:
9781339218199
Catalog System Number:
990045865850203776
Rights:
Inc.icon only.dark In Copyright
Copyright Holder:
Michael Nava
File Description
Access: Public access
Nava_ucsb_0035D_12664.pdf pdf (Portable Document Format)